Preston North End FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC prediction, odds and stats — 24 October 2026
Championship WAT Matchday 12
Updated WAT
Saturday brings Preston North End FC against West Bromwich Albion FC in the Championship, at 15:00 WAT. Preston NE come in with 0 points from their last 3 games, West Brom with 6 from 3.
Our headline pick
Draw or West Brom
- Probability
- 77%
- Fair odds
- 1.29
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
Match analysis
Defensively Preston NE let in 2.18 a game and West Brom 1.09; at the other end they score 0.82 and 1.36. Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total.
The selection our model rates most informative is Draw or West Brom (77%); a price above 1.29 would beat our fair odds.
The 23% chance against Draw or West Brom is real, so never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
West Brom to win 50% · fair odds 2.00 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 93% · fair odds 1.08 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 87% · fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Draw or West Brom 77% · fair odds 1.29 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 75% · fair odds 1.33 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Under 2.5 goals 51% · fair odds 1.98 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 73% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 52% · fair odds 1.93 Confidence: Medium |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates West Bromwich Albion FC to win at 50%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour West Bromwich Albion FC (1416 vs 1518). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 93%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates West Bromwich Albion FC or draw at 77%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour West Bromwich Albion FC (1416 vs 1518). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 75%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates under 2.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 73%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 52%. Expected goals: Preston North End FC 0.89 – 1.74 West Bromwich Albion FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Preston NE | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th | 6th |
| Points (played) | 4 (11) | 20 (11) |
| Goals scored per game | 0.82 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.18 | 1.09 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D0 L1 | Away: W1 D0 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 21 | |
| 5 |
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 20 | |
| 6 |
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 | |
| 7 |
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 8 |
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | |
| 22 |
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 |
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 | |
| 24 |
|
11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -15 | 4 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
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