La Liga Predictions
Spain · Season 2026/27
This page covers the La Liga 2026/27 in Spain: our model's prediction for every upcoming fixture, the league table, recent results and how our picks have performed in this competition. FC Barcelona lead the table on 24 points from 8 games, 5 clear of Club Atlético de Madrid. Across the table, matches have averaged 3.08 goals this season. FC Barcelona have the most goals scored (34) and RC Celta de Vigo the fewest conceded (6). At the other end, Málaga CF sit bottom with 4 points. FC Barcelona are the form side, with 1 win in their last five league games. We have 8 upcoming fixtures on our radar; the next is RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid on Saturday 17 October at 13:00 WAT. Our settled tips here stand at 11 won and 5 lost (68.8%). Each match shows our headline pick with its probability, the fair odds (one divided by that probability) and a confidence rating from 1 to 5; teams with too little data are marked "Limited data" and never tipped. Every probability comes from our own model and is refreshed until kick-off; predictions are estimates, not guarantees.
Upcoming fixtures
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Espanyol vs Atleti
Atleti to win 58% Confidence: Medium
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Villarreal vs Elche
Villarreal to win 67% Confidence: High
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Real Betis vs Barça
Barça to win 71% Confidence: High
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Valencia vs Athletic
Draw or Athletic 74% Confidence: High
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Osasuna vs Santander
Both teams to score: Yes 64% Confidence: High
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Celta vs Alavés
Celta or draw 79% Confidence: High
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Málaga vs Real Sociedad
Over 1.5 goals 79% Confidence: High
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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC
Real Madrid to win 75% Confidence: High
La Liga tips
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Celta vs Alavés
La Liga · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 91% Fair odds 1.10 Confidence: High
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Real Madrid vs Sevilla FC
La Liga · Double chance: Real Madrid or draw 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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Valencia vs Athletic
La Liga · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 89% Fair odds 1.13 Confidence: High
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Osasuna vs Santander
La Liga · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 88% Fair odds 1.13 Confidence: High
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Villarreal vs Elche
La Liga · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 87% Fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High
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Real Betis vs Barça
La Liga · Double chance: Draw or Barça 87% Fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High
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Real Betis vs Barça
La Liga · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 87% Fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High
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Villarreal vs Elche
La Liga · Double chance: Villarreal or draw 86% Fair odds 1.17 Confidence: High
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 | |
| 2 |
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 | |
| 3 |
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 | |
| 4 |
|
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 | |
| 5 |
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 |
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
Recent results
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1-1
FT
Deportivo vs Levante
Both teams to score: Yes 64% Confidence: High Won
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3-3
FT
Levante vs Sevilla FC
Levante to win 43% Confidence: Low Lost
- 2-2 FT Santander vs Valencia Santander to win 53% Confidence: Medium Lost
- 5-2 FT Real Betis vs Osasuna Real Betis to win 66% Confidence: High Won
- 3-2 FT Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Real Sociedad to win 47% Confidence: Low Won
- 0-0 FT Elche vs Celta Celta to win 37% Confidence: Low Lost
- 1-0 FT Real Madrid vs Villarreal No pick yet
- 3-0 FT Barça vs Getafe CF No pick yet
Our La Liga record
- Won
- 11
- Lost
- 5
- Void
- 0
- Hit rate
- 68.8%
Settled tips in this league that are still in our recent results window. Full history: results. How we predict.
La Liga teams
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Athletic
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Osasuna
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Atleti
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Alavés
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Elche
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Barça
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Getafe CF
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Levante
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Málaga
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Celta
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Deportivo
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Espanyol
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
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Real Betis
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Real Madrid
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Santander
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Real Sociedad
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Sevilla FC
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Valencia
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Villarreal
Tips by market
- Banker of the Day The single High-confidence tip our model rates most likely to land today.
- Both Teams To Score Matches where our model has a clear view on whether both sides score.
- Over 2.5 Goals Games projected to produce three or more goals.
- Over 1.5 Goals Games projected to produce at least two goals.
- Under 2.5 Goals Tight, low-scoring games projected to finish with two goals or fewer.
- Correct Score The most likely final scorelines from our goal model.
- Double Chance Two outcomes covered in one pick for lower-variance selections.
- Home Win Home sides our model rates as clear favourites.
- Away Win Away sides with the strongest projected edge on the road.
- Draws Evenly matched fixtures with an above-average draw probability.
- Accumulator A small daily selection of our strongest picks combined, built by the engine.
All leagues · Today's predictions · All tips
Frequently asked questions
When is the next La Liga match?
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT. We have predictions for 8 upcoming La Liga matches.
Who is top of the La Liga?
FC Barcelona lead the table on 24 points after 8 games.
How are La Liga predictions made?
Our model combines Elo ratings, a Dixon-Coles goal model and de-margined bookmaker prices into a probability for every scoreline, then every market.
Can I see past La Liga results?
Yes. The results page for this league lists every settled match with the final score and how our headline pick did.