Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC prediction, odds and stats — 24 October 2026
Championship WAT Matchday 12
Updated WAT
Blackburn Rovers FC against Wrexham AFC is a Championship fixture scheduled for Saturday 24 October at 15:00 WAT. Wrexham's last 3: W-L-D; Blackburn's: L-W-W.
Our headline pick
Over 2.5 goals
- Probability
- 63%
- Fair odds
- 1.59
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
BlackburnDrawWrexham
Match analysis
Per game this season: Blackburn 1.55 scored, 1.45 conceded; Wrexham 1.36 scored, 1.45 conceded. Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total.
Over 2.5 goals leads our markets at an estimated 63%, fair odds 1.59.
Our 63% is an estimate, not a promise; roughly 4 in 10 similar picks miss.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Blackburn to win 43% · fair odds 2.31 Confidence: Low |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 95% · fair odds 1.05 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 81% · fair odds 1.23 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Blackburn or Wrexham 74% · fair odds 1.35 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 82% · fair odds 1.21 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 63% · fair odds 1.59 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 62% · fair odds 1.61 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 61% · fair odds 1.64 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Blackburn Rovers FC to win at 43%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Wrexham AFC (1501 vs 1565). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 95%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 81%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Blackburn Rovers FC or Wrexham AFC at 74%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Wrexham AFC (1501 vs 1565). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 82%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 63%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 62%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 61%. Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers FC 1.88 – 1.31 Wrexham AFC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Blackburn | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Points (played) | 15 (11) | 14 (11) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.55 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.45 | 1.45 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D1 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | |
| 9 |
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 |
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 |
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 |
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 14 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Related matches
-
1-5
FT
Bolton vs Middlesbrough
Both teams to score: Yes 63% Confidence: High Won -
Portsmouth vs Millwall
-
Sheffield Utd vs Derby County
-
Charlton vs Norwich
-
West Ham vs Southampton
-
QPR vs Swansea
Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC?
Over 2.5 goals at 63% (fair odds 1.59). Match result: Blackburn 43%, draw 26%, Wrexham 31%.
Will both teams score in Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 61%, a clean sheet for either side at 39%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC?
Three or more goals: 63%; two or fewer: 37%.
What time does Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC kick off?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 15:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Blackburn Rovers FC vs Wrexham AFC result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.
