Ligue 1 Predictions
France · Season 2026/27
This page covers the Ligue 1 2026/27 in France: our model's prediction for every upcoming fixture, the league table, recent results and how our picks have performed in this competition. AS Monaco FC lead the table on 14 points from 6 games, 1 clear of Lille OSC. Across the table, matches have averaged 2.91 goals this season. Stade Rennais FC 1901 have the most goals scored (12) and Lille OSC the fewest conceded (4). At the other end, Le Havre AC sit bottom with 2 points. Toulouse FC are the form side, with 1 win in their last five league games. We have 8 upcoming fixtures on our radar; the next is RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Paris Saint-Germain FC on Saturday 17 October at 16:15 WAT. Our settled tips here stand at 16 won and 3 lost (84.2%). Each match shows our headline pick with its probability, the fair odds (one divided by that probability) and a confidence rating from 1 to 5; teams with too little data are marked "Limited data" and never tipped. Every probability comes from our own model and is refreshed until kick-off; predictions are estimates, not guarantees.
Upcoming fixtures
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Strasbourg vs PSG
PSG to win 71% Confidence: High
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Lille vs Brest
Lille to win 52% Confidence: Medium
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Troyes vs RC Lens
RC Lens to win 54% Confidence: Medium
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Angers SCO vs Marseille
Over 1.5 goals 78% Confidence: High
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Lorient vs Monaco
Draw or Monaco 70%
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Le Havre vs Auxerre
Over 1.5 goals 77% Confidence: High
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Paris FC vs Stade Rennais
Over 1.5 goals 77% Confidence: High
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Olympique Lyon vs Nice
Olympique Lyon to win 62% Confidence: High
Ligue 1 tips
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Lorient vs Monaco
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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Olympique Lyon vs Nice
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 89% Fair odds 1.13 Confidence: High
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Strasbourg vs PSG
Ligue 1 · Double chance: Draw or PSG 88% Fair odds 1.14 Confidence: High
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Strasbourg vs PSG
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Lille vs Brest
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Le Havre vs Auxerre
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Paris FC vs Stade Rennais
Ligue 1 · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 86% Fair odds 1.17 Confidence: High
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Olympique Lyon vs Nice
Ligue 1 · Double chance: Olympique Lyon or draw 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 | |
| 2 |
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 |
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 | |
| 4 |
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 | No recent games |
| 5 |
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 6 |
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
Recent results
-
0-3
FT
Le Mans vs Toulouse
Draw or Toulouse 70% Won
- 0-2 FT Troyes vs Marseille Marseille to win 48% Confidence: Medium Won
- 4-1 FT Stade Rennais vs Auxerre Stade Rennais to win 57% Confidence: High Won
- 2-1 FT Nice vs Strasbourg Strasbourg to win 42% Confidence: Medium Lost
- 5-1 FT Brest vs Angers SCO No pick yet
- 3-1 FT PSG vs Le Mans No pick yet
- 2-2 FT Monaco vs Toulouse No pick yet
- 1-0 FT Lorient vs Paris FC No pick yet
Our Ligue 1 record
- Won
- 16
- Lost
- 3
- Void
- 0
- Hit rate
- 84.2%
Settled tips in this league that are still in our recent results window. Full history: results. How we predict.
Ligue 1 teams
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Auxerre
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Monaco
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Angers SCO
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Troyes
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Lorient
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Le Havre
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Le Mans
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Lille
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Nice
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Olympique Lyon
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Marseille
-
Paris FC
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PSG
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Strasbourg
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RC Lens
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Brest
-
Stade Rennais
-
Toulouse
Tips by market
- Banker of the Day The single High-confidence tip our model rates most likely to land today.
- Both Teams To Score Matches where our model has a clear view on whether both sides score.
- Over 2.5 Goals Games projected to produce three or more goals.
- Over 1.5 Goals Games projected to produce at least two goals.
- Under 2.5 Goals Tight, low-scoring games projected to finish with two goals or fewer.
- Correct Score The most likely final scorelines from our goal model.
- Double Chance Two outcomes covered in one pick for lower-variance selections.
- Home Win Home sides our model rates as clear favourites.
- Away Win Away sides with the strongest projected edge on the road.
- Draws Evenly matched fixtures with an above-average draw probability.
- Accumulator A small daily selection of our strongest picks combined, built by the engine.
All leagues · Today's predictions · All tips
Frequently asked questions
When is the next Ligue 1 match?
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Paris Saint-Germain FC on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT. We have predictions for 8 upcoming Ligue 1 matches.
Who is top of the Ligue 1?
AS Monaco FC lead the table on 14 points after 6 games.
How are Ligue 1 predictions made?
Our model combines Elo ratings, a Dixon-Coles goal model and de-margined bookmaker prices into a probability for every scoreline, then every market.
Can I see past Ligue 1 results?
Yes. The results page for this league lists every settled match with the final score and how our headline pick did.