Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC prediction, odds and stats — 24 October 2026
Championship WAT Matchday 12
Updated WAT
Charlton Athletic FC welcome Norwich City FC on Saturday 24 October at 12:30 WAT, with Championship points at stake. Over their last few matches Charlton lost 1 and Norwich lost 3 (3 and 3 games).
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals
- Probability
- 79%
- Fair odds
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
CharltonDrawNorwich
Match analysis
The attacking numbers read 0.91 goals a game for Charlton and 1.55 for Norwich, with 1.36 and 1.91 conceded. Our model expects about 2.9 goals in total.
For this match the pick that stands out is Over 1.5 goals (79%, fair odds 1.27).
No pick is certain: 21% of the time this outcome does not happen on our numbers.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Charlton to win 41% · fair odds 2.46 Confidence: Low |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 95% · fair odds 1.05 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 85% · fair odds 1.17 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Charlton or Norwich 72% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 79% · fair odds 1.27 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 56% · fair odds 1.78 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 68% · fair odds 1.47 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 58% · fair odds 1.72 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Charlton Athletic FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Norwich City FC (1474 vs 1516). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 95%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 85%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Charlton Athletic FC or Norwich City FC at 72%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Norwich City FC (1474 vs 1516). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 79%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 56%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 68%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 58%. Expected goals: Charlton Athletic FC 1.54 – 1.33 Norwich City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Charlton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 21st |
| Points (played) | 14 (11) | 9 (11) |
| Goals scored per game | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.36 | 1.91 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D1 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 |
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 | |
| 16 |
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 14 | |
| 17 |
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 | |
| 18 |
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 | |
| 19 |
|
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 | |
| 20 |
|
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 11 | |
| 21 |
|
11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -4 | 9 | |
| 22 |
|
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 8 | |
| 23 |
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC?
Over 1.5 goals at 79% (fair odds 1.27). Match result: Charlton 41%, draw 28%, Norwich 32%.
Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 58%, a clean sheet for either side at 42%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC?
Three or more goals: 56%; two or fewer: 44%.
What time does Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC kick off?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 12:30 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Charlton Athletic FC vs Norwich City FC result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.
