Serie A (Brazil) Predictions
Brazil · Season 2026
This page covers the Serie A 2026 in Brazil: our model's prediction for every upcoming fixture, the league table, recent results and how our picks have performed in this competition. CR Flamengo lead the table on 64 points from 30 games, 1 clear of SE Palmeiras. Across the table, matches have averaged 2.68 goals this season. CR Flamengo have the most goals scored (58) and SE Palmeiras the fewest conceded (22). At the other end, Chapecoense AF sit bottom with 18 points. CR Flamengo are the form side, with 1 win in their last five league games. We have 8 upcoming fixtures on our radar; the next is Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF on Saturday 17 October at 22:00 WAT. In the 11 recent matches we track, home sides won 64%, 27% were drawn and away sides won 9%. Our settled tips here stand at 29 won and 14 lost (67.4%). Each match shows our headline pick with its probability, the fair odds (one divided by that probability) and a confidence rating from 1 to 5; teams with too little data are marked "Limited data" and never tipped. Every probability comes from our own model and is refreshed until kick-off; predictions are estimates, not guarantees.
Upcoming fixtures
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Botafogo vs Chapecoense
Botafogo to win 76% Confidence: High
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Mineiro vs Coritiba
Mineiro to win 63% Confidence: High
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Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Draw or Palmeiras 71%
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São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
Under 2.5 goals 58% Confidence: Medium
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Fluminense vs Santos
Fluminense to win 56% Confidence: Medium
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Grêmio vs Cruzeiro
Draw or Cruzeiro 71%
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Bahia vs Flamengo
Draw or Flamengo 75% Confidence: High
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Clube do Remo vs Bragantino
Under 2.5 goals 58% Confidence: Medium
Serie A tips
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Mirassol vs Internacional
Serie A · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 91% Fair odds 1.10 Confidence: High Won
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Bahia vs Flamengo
Serie A · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 91% Fair odds 1.10 Confidence: High
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Botafogo vs Chapecoense
Serie A · Double chance: Botafogo or draw 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama
Serie A · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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Clube do Remo vs Bragantino
Serie A · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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Mineiro vs Coritiba
Serie A · Double chance: Mineiro or draw 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Grêmio vs Cruzeiro
Serie A · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Botafogo vs Chapecoense
Serie A · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 85% Fair odds 1.18 Confidence: High
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 |
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 |
|
30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 |
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 |
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 |
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
Recent results
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2-0
FT
Mirassol vs Internacional
Under 2.5 goals 60% Confidence: Medium Won
-
4-2
FT
Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro to win 37% Confidence: Medium Lost
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1-3
FT
Chapecoense vs Paranaense
Paranaense to win 51% Confidence: Medium Won
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1-1
FT
Coritiba vs Botafogo
Coritiba to win 39% Confidence: Medium Lost
- 1-0 FT Bahia vs Mirassol Bahia to win 54% Confidence: High Won
- 1-0 FT Flamengo vs Fluminense Flamengo to win 58% Confidence: High Won
- 4-1 FT Palmeiras vs SC Corinthians Paulista Palmeiras to win 69% Confidence: High Won
- 1-1 FT Grêmio vs Internacional Grêmio to win 42% Confidence: Medium Lost
Our Serie A record
- Won
- 29
- Lost
- 14
- Void
- 0
- Hit rate
- 67.4%
Settled tips in this league that are still in our recent results window. Full history: results. How we predict.
Serie A teams
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Botafogo
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Mineiro
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Paranaense
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Flamengo
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Vasco da Gama
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Chapecoense
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Clube do Remo
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Coritiba
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Cruzeiro
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Bahia
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EC Vitória
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Fluminense
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Grêmio
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Mirassol
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Bragantino
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SC Corinthians Paulista
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Internacional
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Palmeiras
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Santos
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São Paulo
Tips by market
- Banker of the Day The single High-confidence tip our model rates most likely to land today.
- Both Teams To Score Matches where our model has a clear view on whether both sides score.
- Over 2.5 Goals Games projected to produce three or more goals.
- Over 1.5 Goals Games projected to produce at least two goals.
- Under 2.5 Goals Tight, low-scoring games projected to finish with two goals or fewer.
- Correct Score The most likely final scorelines from our goal model.
- Double Chance Two outcomes covered in one pick for lower-variance selections.
- Home Win Home sides our model rates as clear favourites.
- Away Win Away sides with the strongest projected edge on the road.
- Draws Evenly matched fixtures with an above-average draw probability.
- Accumulator A small daily selection of our strongest picks combined, built by the engine.
All leagues · Today's predictions · All tips
Frequently asked questions
When is the next Serie A match?
Botafogo FR vs Chapecoense AF on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 22:00 WAT. We have predictions for 8 upcoming Serie A matches.
Who is top of the Serie A?
CR Flamengo lead the table on 64 points after 30 games.
How are Serie A predictions made?
Our model combines Elo ratings, a Dixon-Coles goal model and de-margined bookmaker prices into a probability for every scoreline, then every market.
Can I see past Serie A results?
Yes. The results page for this league lists every settled match with the final score and how our headline pick did.