Championship Predictions
England · Season 2026/27
This page covers the Championship 2026/27 in England: our model's prediction for every upcoming fixture, the league table, recent results and how our picks have performed in this competition. Swansea City AFC lead the table on 23 points from 10 games, 2 clear of Middlesbrough FC. Across the table, matches have averaged 2.93 goals this season. West Ham United FC have the most goals scored (29) and Swansea City AFC the fewest conceded (7). At the other end, Preston North End FC sit bottom with 4 points. Swansea City AFC are the form side, with 2 wins in their last five league games. We have 11 upcoming fixtures on our radar; the next is Millwall FC vs Lincoln City FC on Saturday 17 October at 12:30 WAT. In the 24 recent matches we track, home sides won 38%, 13% were drawn and away sides won 50%. Our settled tips here stand at 31 won and 16 lost (66%). Each match shows our headline pick with its probability, the fair odds (one divided by that probability) and a confidence rating from 1 to 5; teams with too little data are marked "Limited data" and never tipped. Every probability comes from our own model and is refreshed until kick-off; predictions are estimates, not guarantees.
Upcoming fixtures
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Millwall vs Lincoln City
Millwall to win 64% Confidence: High
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Watford vs Charlton
Draw or Charlton 73% Confidence: High
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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff
Middlesbrough to win 51% Confidence: Medium
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Derby County vs Stoke
Over 2.5 goals 62% Confidence: High
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Swansea vs West Ham
Draw or West Ham 70%
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Birmingham vs QPR
Birmingham or draw 75% Confidence: High
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Norwich vs Portsmouth
Over 2.5 goals 71% Confidence: High
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Wrexham vs Preston NE
Wrexham to win 56% Confidence: Medium
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Southampton vs Bolton
Southampton to win 60% Confidence: Medium
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Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd
Over 1.5 goals 75% Confidence: High
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West Brom vs Blackburn
Under 2.5 goals 58% Confidence: Medium
Championship tips
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Watford vs Charlton
Championship · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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West Brom vs Blackburn
Championship · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 90% Fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High
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Birmingham vs QPR
Championship · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 88% Fair odds 1.14 Confidence: High
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Wrexham vs Preston NE
Championship · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 87% Fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High
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Bristol City vs Sheffield Utd
Championship · Over/Under 4.5 goals: under 87% Fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High
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Millwall vs Lincoln City
Championship · Double chance: Millwall or draw 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Middlesbrough vs Cardiff
Championship · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 86% Fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High
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Southampton vs Bolton
Championship · Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.5 goals 86% Fair odds 1.17 Confidence: High
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 | |
| 2 |
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | |
| 3 |
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 20 | |
| 4 |
|
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 | |
| 5 |
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 | |
| 6 |
|
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
Recent results
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1-2
FT
Burnley vs Wolverhampton
Over 2.5 goals 70% Confidence: High Won
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0-6
FT
Lincoln City vs West Ham
West Ham to win 55% Confidence: Low Won
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0-1
FT
Norwich vs Southampton
Southampton to win 47% Confidence: Medium Won
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4-1
FT
QPR vs Derby County
QPR to win 53% Confidence: Medium Won
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3-2
FT
Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth to win 36% Confidence: Low Won
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4-0
FT
Birmingham vs Preston NE
Birmingham to win 58% Confidence: High Won
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2-3
FT
Stoke vs Middlesbrough
Stoke to win 41% Confidence: Low Lost
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0-1
FT
Millwall vs Swansea
Millwall to win 39% Confidence: Low Lost
Our Championship record
- Won
- 31
- Lost
- 16
- Void
- 0
- Hit rate
- 66%
Settled tips in this league that are still in our recent results window. Full history: results. How we predict.
Championship teams
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Birmingham
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Blackburn
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Bolton
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Bristol City
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Burnley
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Cardiff
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Charlton
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Derby County
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Lincoln City
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Middlesbrough
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Millwall
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Norwich
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Portsmouth
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Preston NE
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QPR
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Sheffield Utd
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Southampton
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Stoke
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Swansea
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Watford
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West Brom
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West Ham
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Wolverhampton
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Wrexham
Tips by market
- Banker of the Day The single High-confidence tip our model rates most likely to land today.
- Both Teams To Score Matches where our model has a clear view on whether both sides score.
- Over 2.5 Goals Games projected to produce three or more goals.
- Over 1.5 Goals Games projected to produce at least two goals.
- Under 2.5 Goals Tight, low-scoring games projected to finish with two goals or fewer.
- Correct Score The most likely final scorelines from our goal model.
- Double Chance Two outcomes covered in one pick for lower-variance selections.
- Home Win Home sides our model rates as clear favourites.
- Away Win Away sides with the strongest projected edge on the road.
- Draws Evenly matched fixtures with an above-average draw probability.
- Accumulator A small daily selection of our strongest picks combined, built by the engine.
All leagues · Today's predictions · All tips
Frequently asked questions
When is the next Championship match?
Millwall FC vs Lincoln City FC on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT. We have predictions for 11 upcoming Championship matches.
Who is top of the Championship?
Swansea City AFC lead the table on 23 points after 10 games.
How are Championship predictions made?
Our model combines Elo ratings, a Dixon-Coles goal model and de-margined bookmaker prices into a probability for every scoreline, then every market.
Can I see past Championship results?
Yes. The results page for this league lists every settled match with the final score and how our headline pick did.