Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz prediction, odds and stats — 21 October 2026
UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 3
Updated WAT
Sporting Clube de Portugal welcome LASK Linz on Wednesday 21 October at 20:00 WAT, with UEFA Champions League points at stake. Sporting CP come in with 3 points from their last 1 games, LASK with 0 from 1.
Our headline pick
Sporting CP to win
- Probability
- 88%
- Fair odds
- 1.13
- Confidence
- Confidence: Low
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Limited data
Match result probabilities
Sporting CPDrawLASK
Match analysis
Translated into goals, our numbers suggest around 4.6 in this UEFA Champions League fixture.
Sporting CP to win leads our markets at an estimated 88%, fair odds 1.13.
The 12% chance against Sporting CP to win is real, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. One side has limited data, so treat the number with extra caution.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Sporting CP to win 88% · fair odds 1.13 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 65% · fair odds 1.53 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Double chance |
|
Sporting CP or draw 90% · fair odds 1.11 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 90% · fair odds 1.12 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 83% · fair odds 1.20 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Over 3.5 goals 52% · fair odds 1.93 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 61% · fair odds 1.64 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal to win at 88%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour Sporting Clube de Portugal (1848 vs 1492). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 65%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal or draw at 90%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour Sporting Clube de Portugal (1848 vs 1492). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 90%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 83%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates over 3.5 goals at 52%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 61%. Expected goals: Sporting Clube de Portugal 3.73 – 1.02 LASK Linz (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Sporting CP | LASK |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | – | – |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Sporting CP vs LASK head to head
Related matches
-
Sabah FK vs Dortmund
Dortmund to win 78% Confidence: Low Limited data -
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha
-
Porto vs PSV
-
Man City vs PAE AEK
-
PSG vs Barça
-
Roma vs Sl. Bratislava
Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz?
Sporting CP to win at 88% (fair odds 1.13). Match result: Sporting CP 88%, draw 10%, LASK 2%.
Will both teams score in Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 61%, a clean sheet for either side at 39%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz?
Three or more goals: 83%; two or fewer: 17%.
What time does Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz kick off?
Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.