Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC prediction, odds and stats — 21 October 2026
UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 3
Updated WAT
Our UEFA Champions League preview: Como 1907 play Manchester United FC on Wednesday 21 October 2026, 17:45 WAT. Man United's last 3: D-L-D; Como 1907's: W-L-D.
Our headline pick
Como 1907 or draw
- Probability
- 76%
- Fair odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
Como 1907DrawMan United
Match analysis
Our model expects about 3.7 goals in total, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Our headline pick is Como 1907 or draw at 76%, which converts to fair odds of 1.32.
Our 76% is an estimate, not a promise; roughly 2 in 10 similar picks miss.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Como 1907 to win 51% · fair odds 1.97 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 77% · fair odds 1.30 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Como 1907 or draw 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 86% · fair odds 1.17 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 71% · fair odds 1.41 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 60% · fair odds 1.67 Confidence: Medium |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 63% · fair odds 1.59 Confidence: High Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Como 1907 to win at 51%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. Elo ratings favour Como 1907 (1719 vs 1682). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 77%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Como 1907 or draw at 76%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. Elo ratings favour Como 1907 (1719 vs 1682). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 86%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 60%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 63%. Expected goals: Como 1907 2.12 – 1.49 Manchester United FC (most likely score 1-1). Team strengths come from each side's domestic league, adjusted for league strength. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Como 1907 | Man United |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | – | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Como 1907 vs Man United head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC?
Como 1907 or draw at 76% (fair odds 1.32). Match result: Como 1907 51%, draw 25%, Man United 24%.
Will both teams score in Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 63%, a clean sheet for either side at 37%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC?
Three or more goals: 71%; two or fewer: 29%.
What time does Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC kick off?
Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 17:45 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Como 1907 vs Manchester United FC result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.