AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava prediction, odds and stats — 20 October 2026
UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 3
Updated WAT
Our UEFA Champions League preview: AS Roma play ŠK Slovan Bratislava on Tuesday 20 October 2026, 20:00 WAT. Roma come in with 4 points from their last 3 games, Sl. Bratislava with 0 from 1.
Our headline pick
Roma to win
- Probability
- 90%
- Fair odds
- 1.11
- Confidence
- Confidence: Low
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Limited data
Match result probabilities
RomaDrawSl. Bratislava
Match analysis
Our model expects about 4.2 goals in total, with over 2.5 goals at 79%.
Our headline pick is Roma to win at 90%, which converts to fair odds of 1.11.
The 10% chance against Roma to win is real, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. One side has limited data, so treat the number with extra caution.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Roma to win 90% · fair odds 1.11 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 72% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Double chance |
|
Roma or draw 90% · fair odds 1.11 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 88% · fair odds 1.13 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 79% · fair odds 1.27 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 50% · fair odds 1.98 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 56% · fair odds 1.79 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates AS Roma to win at 90%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour AS Roma (1762 vs 1491). The betting market view is broadly in line with our numbers.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 72%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates AS Roma or draw at 90%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour AS Roma (1762 vs 1491). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 88%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 79%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. The betting market view is broadly in line with our numbers.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 50%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. The betting market view is broadly in line with our numbers.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 56%. Expected goals: AS Roma 3.44 – 0.82 ŠK Slovan Bratislava (most likely score 3-0). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Roma | Sl. Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D0 L1 | – |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Roma vs Sl. Bratislava head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava?
Roma to win at 90% (fair odds 1.11). Match result: Roma 90%, draw 8%, Sl. Bratislava 2%.
Will both teams score in AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 56%, a clean sheet for either side at 44%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava?
Three or more goals: 79%; two or fewer: 21%.
What time does AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava kick off?
Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the AS Roma vs ŠK Slovan Bratislava result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.