Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha prediction, odds and stats — 20 October 2026
UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 3
Updated WAT
SK Slavia Praha travel to face Fenerbahçe SK in the UEFA Champions League, kicking off Tuesday 20 October at 17:45 WAT. Slavia Praha's last 1: L; Fenerbahçe's: L.
Our headline pick
Fenerbahçe or draw
- Probability
- 83%
- Fair odds
- 1.21
- Confidence
- Confidence: Low
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Limited data
Match result probabilities
FenerbahçeDrawSlavia Praha
Match analysis
Around 3.3 goals is the central estimate from our over/under prices.
Our headline pick is Fenerbahçe or draw at 83%, which converts to fair odds of 1.21.
Our 83% is an estimate, not a promise; roughly 2 in 10 similar picks miss. One side has limited data, so treat the number with extra caution.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Fenerbahçe to win 61% · fair odds 1.65 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 67% · fair odds 1.48 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Double chance |
|
Fenerbahçe or draw 83% · fair odds 1.21 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 89% · fair odds 1.12 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 63% · fair odds 1.59 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 51% · fair odds 1.96 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 62% · fair odds 1.61 Confidence: Low Limited data |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Fenerbahçe SK to win at 61%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour Fenerbahçe SK (1739 vs 1491). The betting market is less positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 67%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Fenerbahçe SK or draw at 83%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. Elo ratings favour Fenerbahçe SK (1739 vs 1491). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 89%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 63%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. The betting market is less positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 62%. Expected goals: Fenerbahçe SK 3.43 – 1.17 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 3-1). One side has little or no domestic data in our database, so this estimate leans on a country-strength prior and carries extra uncertainty. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Fenerbahçe | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | – | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha?
Fenerbahçe or draw at 83% (fair odds 1.21). Match result: Fenerbahçe 61%, draw 22%, Slavia Praha 17%.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 62%, a clean sheet for either side at 38%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha?
Three or more goals: 63%; two or fewer: 37%.
What time does Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha kick off?
Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 17:45 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 17:45 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Fenerbahçe SK vs SK Slavia Praha result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.