Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC prediction, odds and stats — 23 October 2026
Premier League WAT Matchday 8
Updated WAT
Friday brings Ipswich Town FC against Nottingham Forest FC in the Premier League, at 20:00 WAT. Form guide: Ipswich Town L-W and Nottingham L-L, most recent result first.
Our headline pick
Draw or Nottingham
- Probability
- 71%
- Fair odds
- 1.4
- Confidence
- –
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
Ipswich TownDrawNottingham
Match analysis
Defensively Ipswich Town let in 2.14 a game and Nottingham 1.29; at the other end they score 1.57 and 0.71. Our model expects about 2.9 goals in total.
Headline view: Draw or Nottingham, rated 71% with fair odds of 1.40.
Keep stakes small: the model gives the other outcomes a combined 29%.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Nottingham to win 44% · fair odds 2.27 Confidence: Low |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 93% · fair odds 1.08 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 87% · fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Ipswich Town or Nottingham 73% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 56% · fair odds 1.78 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 73% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 55% · fair odds 1.82 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Nottingham Forest FC to win at 44%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1602 vs 1619). The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 93%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Ipswich Town FC or Nottingham Forest FC at 73%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1602 vs 1619). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 56%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 73%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: Ipswich Town FC 1.56 – 1.08 Nottingham Forest FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Ipswich Town | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 19th |
| Points (played) | 9 (7) | 5 (7) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.57 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.14 | 1.29 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 | |
| 9 |
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 10 |
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 9 | |
| 11 |
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 12 |
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 | |
| 17 |
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 |
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 | |
| 19 |
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 20 |
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham head to head
Related matches
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Go Ahead to win 52% Confidence: Medium -
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Stuttgart to win 72% Confidence: High -
Torino vs Monza
Torino or draw 74% Confidence: High -
Brest vs Nice
Over 1.5 goals 76% Confidence: High -
Alavés vs Málaga
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Bolton vs Middlesbrough
Both teams to score: Yes 63% Confidence: High
Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC?
Draw or Nottingham at 71% (fair odds 1.40). Match result: Ipswich Town 29%, draw 27%, Nottingham 44%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 55%, a clean sheet for either side at 45%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC?
Three or more goals: 56%; two or fewer: 44%.
What time does Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC kick off?
Friday 23 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Ipswich Town FC vs Nottingham Forest FC result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.