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Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963 prediction, odds and stats — 23 October 2026

Eredivisie WAT Matchday 10

Updated WAT

In the Eredivisie, Go Ahead Eagles take on Telstar 1963 on Friday 23 October at 19:00 WAT. Over their last few matches Go Ahead lost 1 and Telstar lost 1 (2 and 2 games).

Our headline pick

Go Ahead to win

Probability
52%
Fair odds
1.93
Confidence
Confidence: Medium

Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.

Match result probabilities

Go AheadDrawTelstar

Match analysis

Goals trend: Telstar average 1.11 for and 2.00 against, Go Ahead 2.22 for and 2.33 against. Our model expects about 3.8 goals in total.

Headline view: Go Ahead to win, rated 52% with fair odds of 1.93.

No pick is certain: 48% of the time this outcome does not happen on our numbers.

Markets

Our probabilities by market for Go Ahead vs Telstar
MarketProbabilitiesOur pick
Match result
  • Go Ahead 51.8%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Telstar 23.9%
Go Ahead to win 52% · fair odds 1.93 Confidence: Medium
Over/Under 0.5 goals
  • over 96.0%
  • under 4.0%
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: High
Over/Under 4.5 goals
  • under 75.6%
  • over 24.5%
under 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Tip
Double chance
  • 1X 76.1%
  • 12 75.7%
  • X2 48.2%
Go Ahead or draw 76% · fair odds 1.31 Confidence: High Tip
Over/Under 1.5 goals
  • Over 1.5 86.8%
  • Under 1.5 13.2%
Over 1.5 goals 87% · fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High Tip
Over/Under 2.5 goals
  • Over 2.5 73.4%
  • Under 2.5 26.6%
Over 2.5 goals 73% · fair odds 1.36 Confidence: High Tip
Over/Under 3.5 goals
  • Under 3.5 56.0%
  • Over 3.5 44.0%
Under 3.5 goals 56% · fair odds 1.79 Confidence: Medium
Both teams to score
  • Yes 63.7%
  • No 36.3%
Both teams to score: Yes 64% · fair odds 1.57 Confidence: High Tip
Correct score (top 3)
  1. 2-1 8.9%
  2. 1-1 8.5%
  3. 3-1 6.8%
Why the model leans this way, market by market
Match result
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles to win at 52%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Go Ahead Eagles (1515 vs 1486). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over/Under 0.5 goals
Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over/Under 4.5 goals
Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Double chance
Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles or draw at 76%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Go Ahead Eagles (1515 vs 1486). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over/Under 1.5 goals
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 73%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over/Under 3.5 goals
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 56%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score
Our model rates both teams scoring at 64%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Our reasoning

Key stats

Key stats for Go Ahead vs Telstar
Stat Go Ahead Telstar
League position 9th 16th
Points (played) 11 (9) 6 (9)
Goals scored per game 2.22 1.11
Goals conceded per game 2.33 2.00
Home / away record (recent) Home: W0 D1 L0 –

Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.

Form (last five, newest first)

Telstar

Eredivisie table

# Team P GD Pts
7 FC Groningen logo Groningen 9 +3 14
8 SC Heerenveen logo Heerenveen 9 +4 12
9 Go Ahead Eagles logo Go Ahead 9 -1 11
10 SBV Excelsior logo Excelsior 9 -2 11
11 FC Utrecht logo Utrecht 9 -10 11
14 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden logo Cambuur 9 -8 9
15 PEC Zwolle logo Zwolle 9 -12 7
16 Telstar 1963 logo Telstar 9 -8 6
17 ADO Den Haag logo Den Haag 9 -9 6
18 Willem II Tilburg logo Willem II 9 -17 2

Full table

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Go Ahead vs Telstar head to head

Related matches

Frequently asked questions

What is our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963?

Go Ahead to win at 52% (fair odds 1.93). Match result: Go Ahead 52%, draw 24%, Telstar 24%.

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963?

Our model puts both teams scoring at 64%, a clean sheet for either side at 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963?

Three or more goals: 73%; two or fewer: 27%.

What time does Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963 kick off?

Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 19:00 BST in the UK.

Where can I see the Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963 result?

On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.

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