Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar 1963 prediction, odds and stats — 23 October 2026
Eredivisie WAT Matchday 10
Updated WAT
In the Eredivisie, Go Ahead Eagles take on Telstar 1963 on Friday 23 October at 19:00 WAT. Over their last few matches Go Ahead lost 1 and Telstar lost 1 (2 and 2 games).
Our headline pick
Go Ahead to win
- Probability
- 52%
- Fair odds
- 1.93
- Confidence
- Confidence: Medium
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
Match analysis
Goals trend: Telstar average 1.11 for and 2.00 against, Go Ahead 2.22 for and 2.33 against. Our model expects about 3.8 goals in total.
Headline view: Go Ahead to win, rated 52% with fair odds of 1.93.
No pick is certain: 48% of the time this outcome does not happen on our numbers.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Go Ahead to win 52% · fair odds 1.93 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 96% · fair odds 1.04 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Go Ahead or draw 76% · fair odds 1.31 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 87% · fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 73% · fair odds 1.36 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 56% · fair odds 1.79 Confidence: Medium |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 64% · fair odds 1.57 Confidence: High Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles to win at 52%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Go Ahead Eagles (1515 vs 1486). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 96%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Go Ahead Eagles or draw at 76%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Go Ahead Eagles (1515 vs 1486). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 73%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 56%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 64%. Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 2.27 – 1.49 Telstar 1963 (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Go Ahead | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 16th |
| Points (played) | 11 (9) | 6 (9) |
| Goals scored per game | 2.22 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D1 L0 | – |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 8 |
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 | |
| 9 |
|
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 |
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 | |
| 11 |
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 11 | |
| 14 |
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 |
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 | |
| 16 |
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 17 |
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 18 |
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 2 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Go Ahead vs Telstar head to head
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