SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino prediction, odds and stats — 24 October 2026
Brasileirão Série A WAT Matchday 32
Updated WAT
In the Brasileirão Série A, SE Palmeiras take on RB Bragantino on Saturday 24 October at 22:30 WAT. Palmeiras have 2 wins in their last 2, Bragantino 1 in their last 2.
Our headline pick
Palmeiras to win
- Probability
- 74%
- Fair odds
- 1.36
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
PalmeirasDrawBragantino
Match analysis
Goals trend: Bragantino average 1.26 for and 1.16 against, Palmeiras 1.74 for and 0.71 against. Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total.
The selection our model rates most informative is Palmeiras to win (74%); a price above 1.36 would beat our fair odds.
With 26% on the other side, losing runs happen even when the model is right on average.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Palmeiras to win 74% · fair odds 1.36 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 93% · fair odds 1.07 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 87% · fair odds 1.15 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Palmeiras or draw 90% · fair odds 1.11 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 50% · fair odds 1.99 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 72% · fair odds 1.38 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: No 51% · fair odds 1.97 Confidence: Medium |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates SE Palmeiras to win at 74%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour SE Palmeiras (1709 vs 1530). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 93%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates SE Palmeiras or draw at 90%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour SE Palmeiras (1709 vs 1530). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 50%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 72%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates at least one clean sheet at 51%. Expected goals: SE Palmeiras 2.08 – 0.59 RB Bragantino (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Palmeiras | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 10th |
| Points (played) | 66 (31) | 41 (31) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.71 | 1.16 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D1 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 | |
| 2 |
|
31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | +32 | 66 | |
| 3 |
|
31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 53 | |
| 4 |
|
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 | |
| 8 |
|
31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 | |
| 9 |
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 | |
| 10 |
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 | |
| 11 |
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 | |
| 12 |
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
Palmeiras to win at 74% (fair odds 1.36). Match result: Palmeiras 74%, draw 21%, Bragantino 6%.
Will both teams score in SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 49%, a clean sheet for either side at 51%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino?
Three or more goals: 50%; two or fewer: 50%.
What time does SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino kick off?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 22:30 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 22:30 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the SE Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.
