SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR prediction, odds and stats — 24 October 2026
Brasileirão Série A WAT Matchday 32
Updated WAT
Botafogo FR travel to face SC Internacional in the Brasileirão Série A, kicking off Saturday 24 October at 20:30 WAT. Internacional have 0 wins in their last 2, Botafogo 1 in their last 2.
Our headline pick
Under 2.5 goals
- Probability
- 60%
- Fair odds
- 1.68
- Confidence
- Confidence: Medium
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
InternacionalDrawBotafogo
Match analysis
League scoring rates: Internacional 1.06/1.29, Botafogo 1.42/1.55 (scored/conceded per game). Our model expects about 2.3 goals in total.
The selection our model rates most informative is Under 2.5 goals (60%); a price above 1.68 would beat our fair odds.
With 40% on the other side, losing runs happen even when the model is right on average.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Internacional to win 39% · fair odds 2.56 Confidence: Low |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 92% · fair odds 1.08 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 91% · fair odds 1.10 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Internacional or Botafogo 71% · fair odds 1.41 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 71% · fair odds 1.40 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Under 2.5 goals 60% · fair odds 1.68 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.31 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 51% · fair odds 1.96 Confidence: Medium |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates SC Internacional to win at 39%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Botafogo FR (1497 vs 1557). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 92%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 91%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates SC Internacional or Botafogo FR at 71%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Botafogo FR (1497 vs 1557). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates under 2.5 goals at 60%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 51%. Expected goals: SC Internacional 1.19 – 0.96 Botafogo FR (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Internacional | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th | 11th |
| Points (played) | 32 (31) | 39 (31) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.06 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.29 | 1.55 |
| Home / away record (recent) | – | Away: W0 D1 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | +1 | 42 | |
| 10 |
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 | |
| 11 |
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 | |
| 12 |
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 | |
| 13 |
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 37 | |
| 15 |
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 35 | |
| 16 |
|
31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 33 | |
| 17 |
|
31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | -7 | 32 | |
| 18 |
|
31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 | |
| 19 |
|
31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR?
Under 2.5 goals at 60% (fair odds 1.68). Match result: Internacional 39%, draw 29%, Botafogo 32%.
Will both teams score in SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 51%, a clean sheet for either side at 49%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR?
Three or more goals: 40%; two or fewer: 60%.
What time does SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR kick off?
Saturday 24 October 2026 at 20:30 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:30 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the SC Internacional vs Botafogo FR result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.
