La Liga WAT Matchday 9
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 90% · fair odds 1.11
Villarreal CF to win
62% probability Fair odds 1.60
Our model rates Villarreal CF to win at 62%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Villarreal CF (1617 vs 1456). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Villarreal CF or draw
83% probability Fair odds 1.20
Our model rates Villarreal CF or draw at 83%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Villarreal CF (1617 vs 1456). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
90% probability Fair odds 1.11
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 90%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
74% probability Fair odds 1.35
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 74%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 3.5 goals
54% probability Fair odds 1.86
Our model rates over 3.5 goals at 54%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
70% probability Fair odds 1.44
Our model rates both teams scoring at 70%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Villarreal CF to win at 62%. Expected goals: Villarreal CF 2.44 – 1.41 Elche CF (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Villarreal CF (1617 vs 1456). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 
RC Celta de Vigo |
8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 | D |
| 10 | 
Athletic Club |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | No recent games |
| 11 | 
Villarreal CF |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 12 | 
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | No recent games |
| 13 | 
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | No recent games |
| 16 | 
CA Osasuna |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 | L |
| 17 | 
Levante UD |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | D |
| 18 | 
Elche CF |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 | D |
| 19 | 
Valencia CF |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 | D |
| 20 | 
Málaga CF |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 | No recent games |
No previous meetings on record.
Villarreal CF vs Elche CF head to head
Our model gives Villarreal CF a 62% chance to win, the draw 21% and Elche CF 17%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 70%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 74%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%.
Villarreal CF vs Elche CF kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:15 West Africa Time (14:15 UTC).