La Liga WAT Matchday 9
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 82% · fair odds 1.23
Club Atlético de Madrid to win
51% probability Fair odds 1.95
Our model rates Club Atlético de Madrid to win at 51%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Club Atlético de Madrid (1463 vs 1657). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Draw or Club Atlético de Madrid
77% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates Club Atlético de Madrid or draw at 77%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Club Atlético de Madrid (1463 vs 1657). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
82% probability Fair odds 1.23
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 82%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
59% probability Fair odds 1.71
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 59%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
64% probability Fair odds 1.57
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 64%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
60% probability Fair odds 1.66
Our model rates both teams scoring at 60%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Club Atlético de Madrid to win at 51%. Expected goals: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1.25 – 1.79 Club Atlético de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Club Atlético de Madrid (1463 vs 1657). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
FC Barcelona |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 | W |
| 2 | 
Club Atlético de Madrid |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 | W |
| 3 | 
Real Betis Balompié |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 | W |
| 4 | 
Real Madrid CF |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 | W |
| 10 | 
Athletic Club |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | No recent games |
| 11 | 
Villarreal CF |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 12 | 
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | No recent games |
| 13 | 
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | No recent games |
| 14 | 
Getafe CF |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid head to head
Our model gives RCD Espanyol de Barcelona a 23% chance to win, the draw 25% and Club Atlético de Madrid 51%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 60%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%.
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Club Atlético de Madrid kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time (12:00 UTC).