La Liga WAT Matchday 8
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 82% · fair odds 1.23 Won
Levante UD to win
43% probability Fair odds 2.30
Our model rates Levante UD to win at 43%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1489 vs 1483). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Levante UD or Sevilla FC
74% probability Fair odds 1.36
Our model rates Levante UD or Sevilla FC at 74%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1489 vs 1483). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
82% probability Fair odds 1.23
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 82%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
59% probability Fair odds 1.71
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 59%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
64% probability Fair odds 1.57
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 64%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
62% probability Fair odds 1.62
Our model rates both teams scoring at 62%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Levante UD to win at 43%. Expected goals: Levante UD 1.62 – 1.41 Sevilla FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1489 vs 1483). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 
Real Betis Balompié |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 | W |
| 4 | 
Real Madrid CF |
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 | W |
| 5 | 
Sevilla FC |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | D |
| 6 | 
Real Sociedad de Fútbol |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 | W |
| 7 | 
Deportivo Alavés |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 | L |
| 15 | 
Real Racing Club de Santander |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 | D |
| 16 | 
CA Osasuna |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 | L |
| 17 | 
Levante UD |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | D |
| 18 | 
Elche CF |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 | D |
| 19 | 
Valencia CF |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 | D |
No previous meetings on record.
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC head to head
Levante UD 3-3 Sevilla FC.
Our model gives Levante UD a 43% chance to win, the draw 26% and Sevilla FC 30%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 62%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%.
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).