Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC prediction, odds and stats — 20 October 2026
Championship WAT Matchday 6
Updated WAT
Our Championship preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC play Portsmouth FC on Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:45 WAT. Portsmouth's last 3: W-W-L; Wolverhampton's: W-L-L.
Our headline pick
Wolverhampton or draw
- Probability
- 74%
- Fair odds
- 1.34
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin.
Match result probabilities
WolverhamptonDrawPortsmouth
Match analysis
Wolverhampton score 1.80 and concede 1.50 per game; Portsmouth score 1.30 and concede 1.30. Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total.
The selection our model rates most informative is Wolverhampton or draw (74%); a price above 1.34 would beat our fair odds.
Our 74% is an estimate, not a promise; roughly 3 in 10 similar picks miss.
Markets
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Wolverhampton to win 46% · fair odds 2.16 Confidence: Low |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 93% · fair odds 1.07 Confidence: High |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 87% · fair odds 1.16 Confidence: High Tip |
| Double chance |
|
Wolverhampton or draw 74% · fair odds 1.34 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.31 Confidence: High Tip |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 51% · fair odds 1.97 Confidence: Medium |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 72% · fair odds 1.39 Confidence: High Tip |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 56% · fair odds 1.78 Confidence: Medium Tip |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers FC to win at 46%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1515 vs 1513). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 93%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 87%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Wolverhampton Wanderers FC or draw at 74%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1515 vs 1513). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 72%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 56%. Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1.56 – 1.13 Portsmouth FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our reasoning
Key stats
| Stat | Wolverhampton | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 13th |
| Points (played) | 17 (10) | 14 (10) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D0 L1 | Away: W1 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 | |
| 7 |
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 8 |
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 |
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 10 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 11 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | |
| 12 |
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 13 |
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 14 |
|
11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 14 | |
| 15 |
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Wolverhampton vs Portsmouth head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What is our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC?
Wolverhampton or draw at 74% (fair odds 1.34). Match result: Wolverhampton 46%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 26%.
Will both teams score in Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 56%, a clean sheet for either side at 44%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC?
Three or more goals: 51%; two or fewer: 49%.
What time does Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC kick off?
Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 19:45 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Portsmouth FC result?
On this page, minutes after full time: the final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.