Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC result, prediction review and stats — 19 October 2026
Serie A WAT Matchday 7
Updated WAT
Parma Calcio 1913 welcome Torino FC on Monday 19 October at 19:45 WAT, with Serie A points at stake. Parma drew 0 of their last 2 and Torino 0 of theirs, with 0 and 2 wins respectively.
Our headline pick
Draw or Torino
- Probability
- 70%
- Fair odds
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Confidence: High
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Won
Match result probabilities
ParmaDrawTorino
Match analysis
The attacking numbers read 0.57 goals a game for Parma and 1.43 for Torino, with 1.86 and 1.29 conceded. Our model expects about 2.4 goals in total.
Head to head: 0-0-1 from Parma's side over 1 games, averaging 3.0 goals.
Result & prediction review
Parma Calcio 1913 0-3 Torino FC. It was 0-2 at half-time. 6 of our 8 market predictions landed (Torino to win, Both teams to score: Yes, Draw or Torino, over, Over 1.5 goals, under). The headline pick, Draw or Torino, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines (1-1, 0-1, 0-0, 1-2 and 0-2).
How each prediction did
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Torino to win 41% · fair odds 2.47 Confidence: Low Won |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 92% · fair odds 1.08 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 88% · fair odds 1.13 Confidence: High Won |
| Double chance |
|
Draw or Torino 70% · fair odds 1.42 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 74% · fair odds 1.35 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Under 2.5 goals 58% · fair odds 1.73 Confidence: Medium Lost |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Lost |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 52% · fair odds 1.92 Confidence: Medium Won |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Torino FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Torino FC (1538 vs 1565). The betting market is less positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 92%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 88%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Torino FC or draw at 70%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Torino FC (1538 vs 1565). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 74%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates under 2.5 goals at 58%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market view is broadly in line with our numbers.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 52%. Expected goals: Parma Calcio 1913 1.04 – 1.40 Torino FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Key stats
| Stat | Parma | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 10th |
| Points (played) | 4 (7) | 10 (7) |
| Goals scored per game | 0.57 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D0 L1 | Away: W1 D0 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 9 |
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | |
| 10 |
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 |
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 |
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | |
| 17 |
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 |
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 |
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 |
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Head to head
1 meetings · Torino 1 wins, 0 draws, Parma 0 wins
- Parma 0-3 Torino
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Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC?
Parma Calcio 1913 0-3 Torino FC, played on Monday 19 October 2026.
What is our prediction for Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC?
Draw or Torino at 70% (fair odds 1.42). Match result: Parma 30%, draw 30%, Torino 41%.
Will both teams score in Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 52%, a clean sheet for either side at 48%.
What time does Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC kick off?
Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 19:45 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Parma Calcio 1913 vs Torino FC result?
On this page: the 0-3 final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.