Serie A WAT Matchday 7
Our headline pick
AS Roma or draw 93% · fair odds 1.07
AS Roma to win
77% probability Fair odds 1.30
Our model rates AS Roma to win at 77%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour AS Roma (1690 vs 1465). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
AS Roma or draw
93% probability Fair odds 1.07
Our model rates AS Roma or draw at 93%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour AS Roma (1690 vs 1465). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
83% probability Fair odds 1.21
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 83%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
61% probability Fair odds 1.65
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 61%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
62% probability Fair odds 1.62
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 62%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: No
56% probability Fair odds 1.77
Our model rates at least one clean sheet at 56%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates AS Roma to win at 77%. Expected goals: AS Roma 2.50 – 0.63 Genoa CFC (most likely score 2-0). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour AS Roma (1690 vs 1465). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
FC Internazionale Milano |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | W |
| 2 | 
SS Lazio |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | W |
| 3 | 
AS Roma |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | D |
| 4 | 
Cagliari Calcio |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | D |
| 5 | 
AC Milan |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | D |
| 15 | 
Udinese Calcio |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | L |
| 16 | 
AC Monza |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | L |
| 17 | 
Genoa CFC |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | W |
| 18 | 
Parma Calcio 1913 |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | L |
| 19 | 
ACF Fiorentina |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
AS Roma vs Genoa CFC head to head
Our model gives AS Roma a 77% chance to win, the draw 17% and Genoa CFC 7%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 44%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 14%.
AS Roma vs Genoa CFC kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time (18:45 UTC).