Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid result, prediction review and stats — 19 October 2026
La Liga WAT Matchday 9
Updated WAT
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid travel to face Getafe CF in the La Liga, kicking off Monday 19 October at 20:00 WAT. Getafe drew 1 of their last 2 and Rayo Vallecano 1 of theirs, with 0 and 0 wins respectively.
Our headline pick
Under 2.5 goals
- Probability
- 61%
- Fair odds
- 1.63
- Confidence
- Confidence: Medium
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Won
Match result probabilities
GetafeDrawRayo Vallecano
Match analysis
League scoring rates: Getafe 0.56/1.22, Rayo Vallecano 1.50/2.13 (scored/conceded per game). Our model expects about 2.2 goals in total.
In 1 previous meetings Getafe won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 were drawn.
Result & prediction review
Getafe CF 1-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid. It was 0-1 at half-time. 7 of our 8 market predictions landed (Both teams to score: Yes, Draw or Rayo Vallecano, over, Over 1.5 goals, Under 2.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals, under). The headline pick, Under 2.5 goals, was correct. The final score was our number 1 most likely scoreline.
How each prediction did
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Rayo Vallecano to win 38% · fair odds 2.65 Confidence: Low Lost |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 92% · fair odds 1.08 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 88% · fair odds 1.13 Confidence: High Won |
| Double chance |
|
Draw or Rayo Vallecano 69% · fair odds 1.45 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 72% · fair odds 1.39 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Under 2.5 goals 61% · fair odds 1.63 Confidence: Medium Won |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.32 Confidence: High Won |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 53% · fair odds 1.90 Confidence: Medium Won |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win at 38%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (1543 vs 1578). The betting market view is broadly in line with our numbers.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 92%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 88%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or draw at 69%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (1543 vs 1578). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 72%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market is less positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates under 2.5 goals at 61%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 53%. Expected goals: Getafe CF 1.24 – 1.19 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Key stats
| Stat | Getafe | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 13th |
| Points (played) | 9 (9) | 9 (8) |
| Goals scored per game | 0.56 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.22 | 2.13 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D1 L0 | Away: W0 D1 L0 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 | |
| 12 |
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| 13 |
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 |
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 | |
| 15 |
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 8 | |
| 16 |
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
Head to head
1 meetings · Rayo Vallecano 0 wins, 1 draws, Getafe 0 wins
- Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Getafe CF 1-1 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, played on Monday 19 October 2026.
What is our prediction for Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Under 2.5 goals at 61% (fair odds 1.63). Match result: Getafe 31%, draw 31%, Rayo Vallecano 38%.
Will both teams score in Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 53%, a clean sheet for either side at 47%.
What time does Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid kick off?
Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid result?
On this page: the 1-1 final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.