Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC result, prediction review and stats — 19 October 2026
Premier League WAT Matchday 7
Updated WAT
In the Premier League, Tottenham Hotspur FC take on Coventry City FC on Monday 19 October at 20:00 WAT. Form guide: Tottenham W-D and Coventry City L-W, most recent result first.
Our headline pick
Tottenham to win
- Probability
- 62%
- Fair odds
- 1.62
- Confidence
- Confidence: Medium
Fair odds = 1 ÷ our probability. A price below it carries the bookmaker's margin. Won
Match result probabilities
TottenhamDrawCoventry City
Match analysis
Goals trend: Coventry City average 0.86 for and 2.00 against, Tottenham 0.86 for and 1.43 against. Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total.
In 1 previous meetings Tottenham won 1, Coventry City won 0 and 0 were drawn.
Result & prediction review
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-1 Coventry City FC. It was 1-0 at half-time. 7 of our 8 market predictions landed (Tottenham to win, Both teams to score: Yes, Tottenham or draw, over, Over 1.5 goals, Over 2.5 goals, under). The headline pick, Tottenham to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines (1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 and 2-0).
How each prediction did
| Market | Probabilities | Our pick |
|---|---|---|
| Match result |
|
Tottenham to win 62% · fair odds 1.62 Confidence: Medium Won |
| Over/Under 0.5 goals |
|
over 92% · fair odds 1.09 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 4.5 goals |
|
under 91% · fair odds 1.10 Confidence: High Won |
| Double chance |
|
Tottenham or draw 84% · fair odds 1.20 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 1.5 goals |
|
Over 1.5 goals 71% · fair odds 1.40 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 2.5 goals |
|
Over 2.5 goals 63% · fair odds 1.59 Confidence: High Won |
| Over/Under 3.5 goals |
|
Under 3.5 goals 73% · fair odds 1.37 Confidence: High Lost |
| Both teams to score |
|
Both teams to score: Yes 51% · fair odds 1.97 Confidence: Medium Won |
| Correct score (top 3) |
|
|
Why the model leans this way, market by market
- Match result
- Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur FC to win at 62%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Coventry City FC (1560 vs 1635). The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 0.5 goals
- Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 92%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 4.5 goals
- Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 91%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Double chance
- Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur FC or draw at 84%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Coventry City FC (1560 vs 1635). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 1.5 goals
- Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
- Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 63%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market is more positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Over/Under 3.5 goals
- Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 73%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. The betting market is less positive on this outcome than our goals model.
- Both teams to score
- Our model rates both teams scoring at 51%. Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1.14 – 0.98 Coventry City FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Key stats
| Stat | Tottenham | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 16th | 17th |
| Points (played) | 6 (7) | 6 (7) |
| Goals scored per game | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
Probabilities come from our own model. How we calculated this.
Form (last five, newest first)
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 7 | |
| 15 |
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 |
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 | |
| 17 |
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 |
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 | |
| 19 |
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
Head to head
1 meetings · Coventry City 0 wins, 0 draws, Tottenham 1 wins
- Tottenham 3-1 Coventry City
Tottenham vs Coventry City head to head
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Frequently asked questions
What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC?
Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-1 Coventry City FC, played on Monday 19 October 2026.
What is our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC?
Tottenham to win at 62% (fair odds 1.62). Match result: Tottenham 62%, draw 22%, Coventry City 16%.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC?
Our model puts both teams scoring at 51%, a clean sheet for either side at 49%.
What time does Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC kick off?
Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (WAT), which is 20:00 BST in the UK.
Where can I see the Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Coventry City FC result?
On this page: the 3-1 final score and how each of our 9 market predictions did.