Premier League WAT Matchday 7
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 91% · fair odds 1.10
Manchester City FC to win
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates Manchester City FC to win at 76%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Manchester City FC (1774 vs 1547). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Manchester City FC or draw
92% probability Fair odds 1.09
Our model rates Manchester City FC or draw at 92%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Manchester City FC (1774 vs 1547). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
91% probability Fair odds 1.10
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 91%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 3.5 goals
57% probability Fair odds 1.76
Our model rates over 3.5 goals at 57%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
61% probability Fair odds 1.65
Our model rates both teams scoring at 61%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Manchester City FC to win at 76%. Expected goals: Manchester City FC 3.00 – 1.00 Ipswich Town FC (most likely score 3-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Manchester City FC (1774 vs 1547). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
Manchester City FC |
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 | W |
| 2 | 
Arsenal FC |
6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 | W |
| 3 | 
Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 | W |
| 8 | 
Hull City AFC |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | D |
| 9 | 
Liverpool FC |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 10 | 
Ipswich Town FC |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 | W |
| 11 | 
Newcastle United FC |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | L |
| 12 | 
Crystal Palace FC |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | W |
No previous meetings on record.
Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC head to head
Our model gives Manchester City FC a 76% chance to win, the draw 16% and Ipswich Town FC 8%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 61%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 76%.
The most likely scoreline is 3-1 at 8%.
Manchester City FC vs Ipswich Town FC kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time (14:00 UTC).