Championship WAT Matchday 10
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 85% · fair odds 1.18 Won
Stoke City FC to win
41% probability Fair odds 2.42
Our model rates Stoke City FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Middlesbrough FC (1430 vs 1548). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC
75% probability Fair odds 1.34
Our model rates Stoke City FC or Middlesbrough FC at 75%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Middlesbrough FC (1430 vs 1548). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
85% probability Fair odds 1.18
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 85%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
64% probability Fair odds 1.57
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 64%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
58% probability Fair odds 1.71
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 58%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
65% probability Fair odds 1.55
Our model rates both teams scoring at 65%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Stoke City FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: Stoke City FC 1.89 – 1.39 Middlesbrough FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Middlesbrough FC (1430 vs 1548). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
Swansea City AFC |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 | W W |
| 2 | 
Middlesbrough FC |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | W W |
| 3 | 
Southampton FC |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 | W |
| 4 | 
Birmingham City FC |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 | W W |
| 5 | 
West Bromwich Albion FC |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 | W L |
| 6 | 
West Ham United FC |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 | No recent games |
| 7 | 
Stoke City FC |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 | L W |
| 8 | 
Blackburn Rovers FC |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 | W W |
| 9 | 
Queens Park Rangers FC |
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 | No recent games |
1 meetings · Middlesbrough FC 1 wins, 0 draws, Stoke City FC 0 wins
Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC head to head
Stoke City FC 2-3 Middlesbrough FC.
Our model gives Stoke City FC a 41% chance to win, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough FC 33%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 65%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%.
Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).