Serie A WAT Matchday 31
Updated
Clube do Remo host RB Bragantino in the Serie A on Sunday 18 October at 23:30 WAT. Clube do Remo sit 19th on 25 points after 30 games, while Bragantino are 9th on 40, 15 points ahead. Recent form (newest first): Clube do Remo drew 1 of the last 1, Bragantino won 1 of the last 1. Our model's headline view is Under 2.5 goals at 58%. The over/under 2.5 probabilities imply roughly 2.4 goals in total.
Our headline pick
Under 2.5 goals 58% · fair odds 1.72
Clube do Remo to win
44% probability Fair odds 2.27
Our model rates Clube do Remo to win at 44%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1501 vs 1520). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
over
92% probability Fair odds 1.08
Our model rates over 0.5 goals at 92%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
under
90% probability Fair odds 1.11
Our model rates under 4.5 goals at 90%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Clube do Remo or draw
73% probability Fair odds 1.36
Our model rates Clube do Remo or draw at 73%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings are close (1501 vs 1520). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
72% probability Fair odds 1.39
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 72%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 2.5 goals
58% probability Fair odds 1.72
Our model rates under 2.5 goals at 58%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
51% probability Fair odds 1.95
Our model rates both teams scoring at 51%. Expected goals: Clube do Remo 1.30 – 0.92 RB Bragantino (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model's headline view on Clube do Remo vs Bragantino is Under 2.5 goals at an estimated 58%, which converts to fair odds of 1.72. Compare that with the price on offer before deciding anything.
| Stat | Clube do Remo | Bragantino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 9th |
| Points (played) | 25 (30) | 40 (30) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.10 | 1.27 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.17 |
| Home / away record (recent) | – | – |
| Model win probability | 44% | 27% |
| Model expected total goals | 2.4 | match total |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | W |
| 8 |
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | L |
| 9 |
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | W |
| 10 |
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | W |
| 11 |
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | D |
| 17 |
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | L |
| 18 |
|
30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | D |
| 19 |
|
30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | D |
| 20 |
|
29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
Clube do Remo vs Bragantino head to head
Our model gives Clube do Remo a 44% chance to win, the draw 29% and RB Bragantino 27%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 51%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 42%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%.
Clube do Remo vs RB Bragantino kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 23:30 West Africa Time (22:30 UTC).
