Ligue 1 WAT Matchday 7
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 89% · fair odds 1.13
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win
41% probability Fair odds 2.42
Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Paris Saint-Germain FC (1563 vs 1743). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
RC Strasbourg Alsace or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76% probability Fair odds 1.32
Our model rates RC Strasbourg Alsace or Paris Saint-Germain FC at 76%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Paris Saint-Germain FC (1563 vs 1743). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
89% probability Fair odds 1.13
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 89%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
71% probability Fair odds 1.41
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Under 3.5 goals
50% probability Fair odds 1.99
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 50%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
71% probability Fair odds 1.41
Our model rates both teams scoring at 71%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates Paris Saint-Germain FC to win at 41%. Expected goals: RC Strasbourg Alsace 1.92 – 1.74 Paris Saint-Germain FC (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Paris Saint-Germain FC (1563 vs 1743). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 
Olympique Lyonnais |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 | No recent games |
| 5 | 
Paris FC |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | L |
| 6 | 
Paris Saint-Germain FC |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | W |
| 7 | 
Stade Brestois 29 |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 | W |
| 8 | 
FC Lorient |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 9 | 
OGC Nice |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | W |
| 10 | 
Racing Club de Lens |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | No recent games |
| 11 | 
RC Strasbourg Alsace |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | L |
| 12 | 
Angers SCO |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | L |
| 13 | 
Olympique de Marseille |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 | W |
No previous meetings on record.
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head to head
Our model gives RC Strasbourg Alsace a 34% chance to win, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain FC 41%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 71%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 71%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%.
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time (15:15 UTC).