UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 2
Updated
Real Betis Balompié host FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 14 October at 20:00 WAT. Recent form (newest first): Real Betis won 1 of the last 1, Porto won 1 of the last 1. The over/under 2.5 probabilities imply roughly 3.2 goals in total.
Our headline pick
Porto to win 40% · fair odds 2.53 Lost
Real Betis Balompié 3-2 FC Porto. It was 0-0 at half-time. 4 of our 6 market predictions landed (Both teams to score: Yes, Real Betis or Porto, Over 1.5 goals, Over 2.5 goals). The headline pick, Porto to win, did not land. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines (1-1, 2-1 and 1-2).
Porto to win
40% probability Fair odds 2.53
Our model rates FC Porto to win at 40%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour FC Porto (1600 vs 1781). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Real Betis or Porto
75% probability Fair odds 1.34
Our model rates Real Betis Balompié or FC Porto at 75%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour FC Porto (1600 vs 1781). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 1.5 goals
84% probability Fair odds 1.19
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 84%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 2.5 goals
63% probability Fair odds 1.60
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 63%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Under 3.5 goals
60% probability Fair odds 1.68
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 60%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Both teams to score: Yes
65% probability Fair odds 1.55
Our model rates both teams scoring at 65%. Expected goals: Real Betis Balompié 1.74 – 1.48 FC Porto (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
| Stat | Real Betis | Porto |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 40% |
| Model expected total goals | 3.2 | match total |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
No previous meetings on record.
Real Betis vs Porto head to head
Real Betis Balompié 3-2 FC Porto.
Our model gives Real Betis Balompié a 35% chance to win, the draw 25% and FC Porto 40%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 65%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 63%.
Real Betis Balompié vs FC Porto kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).
