UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 2
Updated
The UEFA Champions League meeting between Viking FK and FC Bayern München kicks off on Tuesday 13 October at 20:00 WAT. Recent form (newest first): Viking drew 1 of the last 1, Bayern drew 1 of the last 1. The over/under 2.5 probabilities imply roughly 2.7 goals in total.
Our headline pick
Bayern to win 44% · fair odds 2.28 Lost
Viking FK 3-3 FC Bayern München. It was 2-0 at half-time. 3 of our 6 market predictions landed (Both teams to score: Yes, Over 1.5 goals, Over 2.5 goals). The headline pick, Bayern to win, did not land. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines (1-1, 1-0 and 2-1).
Bayern to win
44% probability Fair odds 2.28
Our model rates FC Bayern München to win at 44%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour FC Bayern München (1500 vs 1808). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Viking or Bayern
75% probability Fair odds 1.33
Our model rates Viking FK or FC Bayern München at 75%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour FC Bayern München (1500 vs 1808). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 1.5 goals
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 2.5 goals
51% probability Fair odds 1.97
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Under 3.5 goals
71% probability Fair odds 1.40
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Both teams to score: Yes
55% probability Fair odds 1.81
Our model rates both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: Viking FK 1.50 – 1.20 FC Bayern München (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
| Stat | Viking | Bayern |
|---|---|---|
| League position | – | – |
| Points (played) | – | – |
| Goals scored per game | – | – |
| Goals conceded per game | – | – |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D1 L0 | Away: W0 D1 L0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 44% |
| Model expected total goals | 2.7 | match total |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
1 meetings · Bayern 0 wins, 1 draws, Viking 0 wins
Viking FK 3-3 FC Bayern München.
Our model gives Viking FK a 31% chance to win, the draw 25% and FC Bayern München 44%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 55%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 51%.
Viking FK vs FC Bayern München kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).
