The UEFA Champions League meeting between Sabah FK and SK Slavia Praha kicks off on Tuesday 13 October at 17:45 WAT. Recent form (newest first): Sabah FK won 1 of the last 1, Slavia Praha lost 1 of the last 1. The over/under 2.5 probabilities imply roughly 2.7 goals in total.
Sabah FK 2-0 SK Slavia Praha. It was 0-0 at half-time. 4 of our 6 market predictions landed (Sabah FK to win, Sabah FK or Slavia Praha, Over 1.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals). The headline pick, Sabah FK to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines (1-1, 1-0 and 2-1).
How each prediction did
Match result
Won
Sabah FK to win
44% probabilityFair odds 2.27
Sabah FK 44%
Draw 27%
Slavia Praha 29%
Our model rates Sabah FK to win at 44%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings are close (1500 vs 1500). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Double chance
Won
Sabah FK or Slavia Praha
73% probabilityFair odds 1.38
1X 71%
12 73%
X2 56%
Our model rates Sabah FK or SK Slavia Praha at 73%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings are close (1500 vs 1500). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over/Under 1.5 goals
Won
Over 1.5 goals
76% probabilityFair odds 1.31
Over 1.5 76%
Under 1.5 24%
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Lost
Over 2.5 goals
51% probabilityFair odds 1.97
Over 2.5 51%
Under 2.5 49%
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over/Under 3.5 goals
Won
Under 3.5 goals
71% probabilityFair odds 1.40
Over 3.5 29%
Under 3.5 71%
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Both teams to score
Lost
Both teams to score: Yes
55% probabilityFair odds 1.81
Yes 55%
No 45%
Our model rates both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: Sabah FK 1.50 – 1.20 SK Slavia Praha (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Most likely scores
1.1-113.1%
2.1-09.1%
3.2-19.1%
Key stats
Key stats for Sabah FK vs Slavia Praha
Stat
Sabah FK
Slavia Praha
League position
–
–
Points (played)
–
–
Goals scored per game
–
–
Goals conceded per game
–
–
Home / away record (recent)
Home: W1 D0 L0
Away: W0 D0 L1
Model win probability
44%
29%
Model expected total goals
2.7
match total
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.