Match result
WonBologna to win
37% probability Fair odds 2.68
Serie A WAT
Updated
Bologna FC 1909 travel to face US Lecce in the Serie A, kicking off Sunday 11 October at 14:00 WAT. Lecce sit 13th on 6 points after 6 games, while Bologna are 14th on 5, 1 point behind. Recent form (newest first): Lecce lost 1 of the last 1, Bologna won 1 of the last 1.
Our headline pick
Bologna to win 37% · fair odds 2.68 Won
US Lecce 1-2 Bologna FC 1909. 4 of our 6 market predictions landed (Bologna to win, Lecce or Bologna, Over 1.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals). The headline pick, Bologna to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines ().
Bologna to win
37% probability Fair odds 2.68
Lecce or Bologna
70% probability Fair odds 1.42
Over 1.5 goals
67% probability Fair odds 1.50
Under 2.5 goals
61% probability Fair odds 1.63
Under 3.5 goals
81% probability Fair odds 1.23
Both teams to score: No
54% probability Fair odds 1.87
| Stat | Lecce | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 14th |
| Points (played) | 6 (6) | 5 (6) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W0 D0 L1 | Away: W1 D0 L0 |
| Model win probability | – | – |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 12 |
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | W |
| 13 |
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | L |
| 14 |
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | W |
| 15 |
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | L |
| 16 |
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
US Lecce 1-2 Bologna FC 1909.
Our model gives US Lecce a – chance to win, the draw – and Bologna FC 1909 –. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at –.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of –.
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time (13:00 UTC).