Match result
WonSport Lisboa e Benfica to win
74% probability Fair odds 1.36
Primeira Liga WAT
Updated
The Primeira Liga meeting between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Vitória SC kicks off on Sunday 11 October at 18:00 WAT. Sport Lisboa e Benfica sit 2nd on 19 points after 8 games, while Vitória SC are 15th on 5, 14 points behind. Recent form (newest first): Sport Lisboa e Benfica won 1 of the last 1, Vitória SC lost 1 of the last 1.
Our headline pick
Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win 74% · fair odds 1.36 Won
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2-0 Vitória SC. 5 of our 6 market predictions landed (Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win, Both teams to score: No, Sport Lisboa e Benfica or draw, Over 1.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals). The headline pick, Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines ().
Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win
74% probability Fair odds 1.36
Sport Lisboa e Benfica or draw
92% probability Fair odds 1.09
Over 1.5 goals
79% probability Fair odds 1.27
Over 2.5 goals
55% probability Fair odds 1.82
Under 3.5 goals
67% probability Fair odds 1.49
Both teams to score: No
54% probability Fair odds 1.87
| Stat | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 15th |
| Points (played) | 19 (8) | 5 (8) |
| Goals scored per game | 3.00 | 0.63 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
| Model win probability | – | – |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 | W |
| 2 |
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 | W |
| 3 |
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 | No recent games |
| 4 |
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | W |
| 13 |
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 | L |
| 14 |
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 | W |
| 15 |
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 | L |
| 16 |
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 | L |
| 17 |
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC head to head
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2-0 Vitória SC.
Our model gives Sport Lisboa e Benfica a – chance to win, the draw – and Vitória SC –. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at –.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of –.
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 West Africa Time (17:00 UTC).