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Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Eredivisie WAT Matchday 9

Our headline pick

Over 1.5 goals 91% · fair odds 1.10

Predictions by market

Match result

Tip

Sparta Rotterdam to win

58% probability Fair odds 1.72

  • Sparta Rotterdam 58%
  • Draw 22%
  • Willem II Tilburg 20%

Our model rates Sparta Rotterdam to win at 58%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Sparta Rotterdam (1465 vs 1378). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Double chance

Tip

Sparta Rotterdam or draw

80% probability Fair odds 1.25

  • 1X 80%
  • 12 78%
  • X2 42%

Our model rates Sparta Rotterdam or draw at 80%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Sparta Rotterdam (1465 vs 1378). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 1.5 goals

Tip

Over 1.5 goals

91% probability Fair odds 1.10

  • Over 1.5 91%
  • Under 1.5 9%

Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 91%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 2.5 goals

Tip

Over 2.5 goals

75% probability Fair odds 1.34

  • Over 2.5 75%
  • Under 2.5 25%

Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 75%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals

55% probability Fair odds 1.83

  • Over 3.5 55%
  • Under 3.5 45%

Our model rates over 3.5 goals at 55%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Both teams to score

Tip

Both teams to score: Yes

71% probability Fair odds 1.41

  • Yes 71%
  • No 29%

Our model rates both teams scoring at 71%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Most likely scores

  1. 1. 2-1 8.8%
  2. 2. 1-1 7.8%
  3. 3. 3-1 7.1%

Match preview

Our model rates Sparta Rotterdam to win at 58%. Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 2.44 – 1.47 Willem II Tilburg (most likely score 2-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour Sparta Rotterdam (1465 vs 1378). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.

Form (last five, newest first)

Eredivisie table

# Team P GD Pts
12 SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 8 -8 8
13 FC Utrecht 8 -11 8
14 Sparta Rotterdam 8 -7 6
15 Telstar 1963 8 -7 6
16 PEC Zwolle 8 -15 4
17 ADO Den Haag 8 -10 3
18 Willem II Tilburg 8 -16 2

Full table

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg head to head

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg?

Our model gives Sparta Rotterdam a 58% chance to win, the draw 22% and Willem II Tilburg 20%. Predictions are not guarantees.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg?

Our model puts both teams scoring at 71%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg?

Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 75%.

What is the most likely score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg?

The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%.

When does Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg kick off?

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).

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