Match result
WonFreiburg to win
60% probability Fair odds 1.66
Bundesliga WAT
Updated
The Bundesliga meeting between SC Freiburg and FC Schalke 04 kicks off on Sunday 11 October at 16:30 WAT. Freiburg sit 1st on 13 points after 5 games, while Schalke are 13th on 5, 8 points behind. Recent form (newest first): Freiburg won 1 of the last 1, Schalke lost 1 of the last 1.
Our headline pick
Freiburg to win 60% · fair odds 1.66 Won
SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04. 5 of our 6 market predictions landed (Freiburg to win, Freiburg or draw, Over 1.5 goals, Over 2.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals). The headline pick, Freiburg to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines ().
Freiburg to win
60% probability Fair odds 1.66
Freiburg or draw
84% probability Fair odds 1.19
Over 1.5 goals
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Over 2.5 goals
51% probability Fair odds 1.95
Under 3.5 goals
71% probability Fair odds 1.41
Both teams to score: No
50% probability Fair odds 1.99
| Stat | Freiburg | Schalke |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 13th |
| Points (played) | 13 (5) | 5 (5) |
| Goals scored per game | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
| Model win probability | – | – |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 | W |
| 2 |
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 | No recent games |
| 3 |
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 | D |
| 11 |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 | W |
| 12 |
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 | W |
| 13 |
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | L |
| 14 |
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 | L |
| 15 |
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
Freiburg vs Schalke head to head
SC Freiburg 2-1 FC Schalke 04.
Our model gives SC Freiburg a – chance to win, the draw – and FC Schalke 04 –. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at –.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of –.
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:30 West Africa Time (15:30 UTC).