UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 2
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 76% · fair odds 1.31 Lost
PSV to win
39% probability Fair odds 2.59
Our model rates PSV to win at 39%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour PSV (1607 vs 1803). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
RB Leipzig or PSV
73% probability Fair odds 1.37
Our model rates RB Leipzig or PSV at 73%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour PSV (1607 vs 1803). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 1.5 goals
76% probability Fair odds 1.31
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 76%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 2.5 goals
51% probability Fair odds 1.97
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 51%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Under 3.5 goals
71% probability Fair odds 1.40
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 71%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Both teams to score: Yes
55% probability Fair odds 1.81
Our model rates both teams scoring at 55%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Our model rates PSV to win at 39%. Expected goals: RB Leipzig 1.50 – 1.20 PSV (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings favour PSV (1607 vs 1803). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
1 meetings · PSV 0 wins, 0 draws, RB Leipzig 1 wins
RB Leipzig vs PSV head to head
RB Leipzig 1-0 PSV.
Our model gives RB Leipzig a 35% chance to win, the draw 27% and PSV 39%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 55%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 51%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%.
RB Leipzig vs PSV kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).
RB Leipzig
PSV