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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bundesliga WAT Matchday 6

Hamburger SV
vs
VfB Stuttgart

Our headline pick

Over 1.5 goals 88% · fair odds 1.14

Predictions by market

Match result

Tip

VfB Stuttgart to win

50% probability Fair odds 1.99

  • Hamburger SV 26%
  • Draw 24%
  • VfB Stuttgart 50%

Our model rates VfB Stuttgart to win at 50%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour VfB Stuttgart (1466 vs 1619). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Double chance

Tip

Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart

76% probability Fair odds 1.32

  • 1X 50%
  • 12 76%
  • X2 74%

Our model rates Hamburger SV or VfB Stuttgart at 76%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour VfB Stuttgart (1466 vs 1619). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 1.5 goals

Tip

Over 1.5 goals

88% probability Fair odds 1.14

  • Over 1.5 88%
  • Under 1.5 12%

Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 88%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 2.5 goals

Tip

Over 2.5 goals

69% probability Fair odds 1.45

  • Over 2.5 69%
  • Under 2.5 31%

Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 69%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Over/Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals

52% probability Fair odds 1.92

  • Over 3.5 48%
  • Under 3.5 52%

Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 52%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Both teams to score

Tip

Both teams to score: Yes

68% probability Fair odds 1.46

  • Yes 68%
  • No 32%

Our model rates both teams scoring at 68%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Most likely scores

  1. 1. 1-1 9.4%
  2. 2. 1-2 9.1%
  3. 3. 2-2 6.7%

Match preview

Our model rates VfB Stuttgart to win at 50%. Expected goals: Hamburger SV 1.48 – 2.09 VfB Stuttgart (most likely score 1-1). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour VfB Stuttgart (1466 vs 1619). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.

Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.

Form (last five, newest first)

Hamburger SV W
VfB Stuttgart W

Bundesliga table

# Team P GD Pts
9 SV 07 Elversberg 5 0 7
10 1. FC Köln 5 -2 7
11 VfB Stuttgart 5 -1 6
12 Hamburger SV 5 -10 6
13 FC Schalke 04 5 -2 5
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 5 -7 5

Full table

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart head to head

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our model gives Hamburger SV a 26% chance to win, the draw 24% and VfB Stuttgart 50%. Predictions are not guarantees.

Will both teams score in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our model puts both teams scoring at 68%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 69%.

What is the most likely score in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%.

When does Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time (13:30 UTC).

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