UEFA Champions League WAT Matchday 2
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 80% · fair odds 1.24
FK Shakhtar Donetsk to win
45% probability Fair odds 2.22
Our model rates FK Shakhtar Donetsk to win at 45%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings are close (1500 vs 1500). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
FK Shakhtar Donetsk or PAE AEK
74% probability Fair odds 1.36
Our model rates FK Shakhtar Donetsk or PAE AEK at 74%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings are close (1500 vs 1500). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 1.5 goals
80% probability Fair odds 1.24
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 80%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Over 2.5 goals
57% probability Fair odds 1.76
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 57%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Under 3.5 goals
66% probability Fair odds 1.53
Our model rates under 3.5 goals at 66%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Both teams to score: Yes
60% probability Fair odds 1.67
Our model rates both teams scoring at 60%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Our model rates FK Shakhtar Donetsk to win at 45%. Expected goals: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1.66 – 1.31 PAE AEK (most likely score 1-1). Elo ratings are close (1500 vs 1500). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models. Limited recent data for these teams lowers our confidence.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
No previous meetings on record.
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs PAE AEK head to head
Our model gives FK Shakhtar Donetsk a 45% chance to win, the draw 26% and PAE AEK 29%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 60%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 57%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%.
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs PAE AEK kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
PAE AEK