Match result
WonMineiro to win
46% probability Fair odds 2.16
Serie A WAT
Updated
CA Mineiro host Santos FC in the Serie A on Sunday 11 October at 20:00 WAT. Mineiro sit 7th on 47 points after 30 games, while Santos are 8th on 42, 5 points behind. Recent form (newest first): Mineiro won 1 of the last 1, Santos lost 1 of the last 1.
Our headline pick
Mineiro to win 46% · fair odds 2.16 Won
CA Mineiro 2-1 Santos FC. 6 of our 6 market predictions landed (Mineiro to win, Both teams to score: Yes, Mineiro or Santos, Over 1.5 goals, Over 2.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals). The headline pick, Mineiro to win, was correct. The final score was not among our three most likely scorelines ().
Mineiro to win
46% probability Fair odds 2.16
Mineiro or Santos
74% probability Fair odds 1.36
Over 1.5 goals
81% probability Fair odds 1.24
Over 2.5 goals
57% probability Fair odds 1.75
Under 3.5 goals
65% probability Fair odds 1.53
Both teams to score: Yes
60% probability Fair odds 1.66
| Stat | Mineiro | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 8th |
| Points (played) | 47 (30) | 42 (30) |
| Goals scored per game | 1.37 | 1.53 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Home / away record (recent) | Home: W1 D0 L0 | Away: W0 D0 L1 |
| Model win probability | – | – |
Probabilities come from our own model, which blends a goals model, team ratings and market prices. How we calculated this.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
|
30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | W |
| 6 |
|
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | L |
| 7 |
|
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | W |
| 8 |
|
30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | L |
| 9 |
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | W |
| 10 |
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | W |
No previous meetings on record.
Mineiro vs Santos head to head
CA Mineiro 2-1 Santos FC.
Our model gives CA Mineiro a – chance to win, the draw – and Santos FC –. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at –.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of –.
CA Mineiro vs Santos FC kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time (19:00 UTC).