Eredivisie WAT Matchday 9
Our headline pick
Over 1.5 goals 95% · fair odds 1.05
PSV to win
75% probability Fair odds 1.33
Our model rates PSV to win at 75%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour PSV (1462 vs 1793). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Draw or PSV
90% probability Fair odds 1.11
Our model rates PSV or draw at 90%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour PSV (1462 vs 1793). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 1.5 goals
95% probability Fair odds 1.05
Our model rates over 1.5 goals at 95%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 2.5 goals
85% probability Fair odds 1.18
Our model rates over 2.5 goals at 85%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Over 3.5 goals
69% probability Fair odds 1.45
Our model rates over 3.5 goals at 69%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Both teams to score: Yes
71% probability Fair odds 1.41
Our model rates both teams scoring at 71%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Our model rates PSV to win at 75%. Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.31 – 3.39 PSV (most likely score 1-3). Recent form adjusts the goal expectations slightly. Elo ratings favour PSV (1462 vs 1793). No market view was available, so the estimate relies on our goals and rating models.
Probabilities are model estimates. Predictions are not guarantees; please gamble responsibly.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
Feyenoord Rotterdam |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 | W |
| 2 | 
PSV |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 | No recent games |
| 3 | 
AZ |
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 | L |
| 4 | 
FC Twente '65 |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 | D |
| 15 | 
Telstar 1963 |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | D |
| 16 | 
PEC Zwolle |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 | L |
| 17 | 
ADO Den Haag |
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 | D |
| 18 | 
Willem II Tilburg |
8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 | L |
No previous meetings on record.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV head to head
Our model gives ADO Den Haag a 10% chance to win, the draw 15% and PSV 75%. Predictions are not guarantees.
Our model puts both teams scoring at 71%.
Three or more goals has an estimated probability of 85%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-3 at 8%.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 West Africa Time (14:30 UTC).